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Saturday, April 14, 2018

04-14-18 TOR vs CLE

Line Score - Final


1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
TOR 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 3 8 7 0
CLE 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 12 2

Box Score

CLE
AB R H RBI BB SO BA
TOR
AB R H RBI BB SO BA
SS Lindor 5 2 3 1 0 1 .241
DH Granderson 3 0 0 0 0 1 .324
2B Kipnis 5 0 1 1 0 1 .164
DH Pearce 2 2 1 2 0 0 .233
3B Ramírez, J 4 1 1 0 1 2 .160
LF Hernández, T 5 0 2 2 0 1 .400
1B Alonso 4 0 1 1 0 2 .191
1B Smoak 4 1 0 0 1 3 .288
DH Encarnacion 4 0 1 0 0 1 .146
3B Solarte 4 1 0 0 1 0 .286
RF Naquin, T 4 0 2 1 0 0 .280
C Martin, R 4 0 0 0 0 1 .152
C Gomes 3 0 1 0 1 2 .194
CF Pillar 4 1 2 1 0 1 .308
CF Zimmer 4 0 1 0 0 1 .250
SS Díaz 4 2 2 3 0 0 .237
LF Davis, R 4 1 1 0 0 1 .240
RF Grichuk 3 0 0 0 1 2 .071
CLE IP H R ER BB SO P-S ERA
TOR IP H R ER BB SO P-S ERA
Clevinger 4.0 3 4 4 2 5 82-48 2.70
Stroman 5.0 9 4 4 2 5 99-62 7.98
Otero 2.0 0 0 0 0 2 27-18 6.00
Barnes, D 1.0 2 0 0 0 2 23-16 1.23
McAllister 0.1 0 1 0 1 0 9-4 6.75
Clippard 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 10-7 2.35
Miller 0.2 1 0 0 0 1 13-10 0.00
Tepera 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 9-6 2.25
Belisle 1.1 3 3 3 0 1 33-21 5.06
Osuna 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 13-10 0.00
Olson 0.2 0 0 0 0 1 6-4 5.40













The Blue Jays were down 4-0, and then scored eight unanswered runs. Aprobado!

No recap tonight. Just some thoughts on Hernandez.

He has shown tremendous upside since coming to the Jays. As you know, he had eight home runs in fewer than 100 plate appearances last year, and posted a wRC+ of 132. He looked great again in spring training this year. Tonight, he hit two doubles in his debut, and picked up a couple of RBIs. It’s been a terrific career with the Blue Jays so far.

But as exciting as he’s been, I think we should still pump the brakes a little. Over the course of his minor league career, Hernandez always struggled with strikeouts. That continued last September, when he struck out 38% of the time. He also showed decent power in the minors, but certainly nothing compared to a .341 ISO. The most homers he ever hit in a season was 17, once in 455 plate appearances, and again in 514. Remember, he hit eight last year in 95.

What does that mean? For me, it means that the September sample shouldn’t carry too much weight. It was such a drastic departure from his career norm, that I find it hard to believe that he will sustain it. Obviously he did tonight, but based on the evidence before us, it’s not likely to continue.
Moreover, he has still shown holes in his game. Do you know who he is very similar to? Randal Grichuk, a player with ~1,500 plate appearances under his belt. The key difference is that Grichuk has shown exceptional power consistently at the MLB level, along with the strikeouts. Grichuk is also a slightly better defender, but that’s not as important to this discussion.

All of this to say that, while Grichuk has struggled so far and Hernandez has looked excellent, both have done so in small samples, and have should be expected to regress in opposite directions. Based on what we’ve seen over their careers, Grichuk should level out to be a slightly above-average player, and Hernandez… we don’t know. Which is why the Jays have stuck with Grichuk, and will continue to moving forward.

Now, having said all of that, this isn’t meant to be a put-down on Hernandez. I don’t dislike him, or “hate him,” as I’ve been accused of. I just think that there are enough red flags throughout his career, and not enough of a positive sample size as yet, for the Jays to hitch their wagon to him. You know what would make the most sense to me? If the Jays could somehow get rid of Morales. That way, they could keep Hernandez in LF, while platooning Granderson and Pearce at DH. Based on the 40-man, that seems to be the optimal lineup at this point.

Hernandez has shown terrific flashes so far in his career. I just want to see him do it for a little longer before I get too excited.

Wednesday, April 4, 2018

04-04-18 CHW vs TOR

Line Score - Final


1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
CWS 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 4 7 0
TOR 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 3 7 1

Box Score

TOR
AB R H RBI BB SO BA
CWS
AB R H RBI BB SO BA
2B Travis 4 0 0 0 0 1 .050
2B Moncada 3 0 1 1 1 1 .200
3B Donaldson 3 1 1 0 1 0 .250
RF García, A 3 0 0 1 0 2 .318
1B Smoak 4 1 2 0 0 1 .385
DH Abreu 4 1 1 1 0 1 .400
LF Granderson 2 0 2 0 0 0 .350
1B Davidson 3 1 1 1 0 1 .263
LF Pearce 2 1 1 1 0 0 .286
LF García, L 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250
RF Grichuk 4 0 0 0 0 3 .087
1B Delmonico 4 0 0 0 0 1 .077
C Martin, R 4 0 0 1 0 1 .133
C Castillo 3 1 1 0 1 1 .200
DH Morales, K 4 0 1 1 0 1 .143
3B Sánchez 4 1 2 0 0 1 .333
CF Pillar 4 0 0 0 0 2 .320
SS Anderson, Ti 4 0 0 0 0 2 .300
SS Ngoepe 3 0 0 0 0 1 .100
CF Engel 3 0 1 0 0 1 .250
TOR IP H R ER BB SO P-S ERA
CWS IP H R ER BB SO P-S ERA
Sanchez, Aa 6.0 5 3 3 2 7 98-58 5.40
Fulmer, C 5.0 5 3 3 1 5 73-48 5.40
Oh, S 1.0 1 0 0 0 2 17-13 2.25
Bummer 0.2 2 0 0 0 1 13-7 0.00
Tepera 1.0 1 1 1 0 0 10-6 2.25
Farquhar 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 18-13 5.40
Loup 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 14-11 0.00
Jones, N 1.1 0 0 0 0 1 10-8 0.00

Lots of warning track power tonight.

Sanchez had some good stuff tonight. He wasn’t great, but he was good. His final line reads 6.0 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 7 SO, 2 BB. Sanchez located his fastball well, and his off-speed pitches had plenty of movement. I really don’t have a whole lot to say about the start. This was basically the base that you expect Sanchez to build on. He gave up a solo shot to Matt Davidson, and limited the damage after that.

There were some shenanigans in the 5th, though. The inning started off with a walk to Welington Castillo and a single from Yolmer Sanchez. A couple of batters later, Sanchez hit Adam Engel with a pitch to load the bases. Yoan Moncada then drove one to the outfield wall. Watch this for the whole picture of what happened next.

At first, it seemed as though Granderson made a terrific catch, and Castillo made a boneheaded decision on the base paths. As it turned out, the umpires got the decision wrong, and after review, they awarded each runner a base, resulting in a run for the White Sox. I agree with the reasoning, even if it seemed a little strange at first. Basically, once the umpire signalled that Granderson made the catch, the runners couldn’t be expected to advance, because they weren’t forced to. As such, they couldn’t be called out for not advancing, and the umpires had to make the judgment call that it was reasonable to expect that, if the umpires hadn’t made the wrong call, the runners would have advanced one base each. I buy that.

The Jays had a chance to score early tonight, but Grichuk and his strikeout tendencies got in the way. After a Donaldson walk and a Granderson single, they had runners on the corners with two outs, before Grichuk struck out. That was a theme throughout the game. The bats went quiet after that, until Granderson and Smoak hit back-to-back doubles, and Martin scored one in the 4th. Morales struck out to end the inning.

The 6th was more interesting. Donaldson hit a single, and Smoak hit a double to start things off. With a lefty on the mound, Gibbons went to the bench. The switch worked, as Pearce picked up a pinch-hit RBI single. Grichuk then had an opportunity to pile a few runs on. He went up 3-0 in the count, before he swung at two balls below his ankles, and ultimately struck out watching strike three cross near the middle of the zone. Grichuk’s strikeouts were ugly tonight. Martin tried to bring a run in after that, but Smoak was thrown out at home. When it looked as though the Jays might have wasted a golden opportunity, Morales came through with an RBI single.

So Grichuk joined Travis in the doghouse (Travis had another bad night, going 0-for-4 with a strikeout). That doesn’t mean that Teoscar Hernandez should replace him. Not even close. As good as Hernandez looked last September with his eight home runs, he also struck out 38% of the time. That is Randal Grichuk. Grichuk brings lots of power and lots of strikeouts. The difference is that Grichuk has done it at the Major League level for a lot longer than a month, unlike Hernandez. Grichuk also brings noticeably better defence. Yes, Grichuk is off to a slow start, but he isn’t going to lose his job, especially not to someone who is a slightly lesser version of himself.

Back on topic - I didn’t count how many balls the Jays hit deep into the outfield, but it seemed like a lot. They just kept landing in gloves.

Oh worked the 7th inning. He picked up a couple of strikeouts against Moncada and Avisail Garcia, as well as a groundout from Tim Anderson. Engel mixed a single in there as well. Tepera came in for the 8th. He didn’t have a clean inning. Jose Abreu hit a leadoff home run. Tepera then hit Davidson with a pitch. Nicky Delmonico grounded into a double play (the Travis-Ngoepe duo has been smooth). Castillo flied out to end the frame. Loup worked the 9th against three right-handers. He got two strikeouts and a flyout. Loup has looked good so far.

Off-day tomorrow. Weekend series against the Rangers on tap. We have more wins than losses.

Tuesday, April 3, 2018

04-03-18 CHW vs TOR

Line Score - Final


1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
CWS 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 5 9 1
TOR 0 0 3 3 0 1 0 7
14 15 2

Box Score

TOR
AB R H RBI BB SO BA
CWS
AB R H RBI BB SO BA
LF Granderson 5 2 2 1 0 0 .278
2B Moncada 4 0 0 0 1 3 .176
3B Donaldson 4 2 2 3 1 0 .238
RF García, A 5 1 2 1 0 1 .316
1B Smoak 3 2 1 1 1 0 .364
1B Abreu 4 0 2 0 0 0 .438
2B Solarte 4 1 2 0 1 0 .250
DH Davidson 5 0 0 0 0 3 .250
RF Grichuk 4 0 0 1 0 1 .105
C Castillo 4 0 0 0 0 1 .176
DH Morales, K 4 1 1 1 1 2 .100
SS Anderson, Ti 4 3 3 1 0 1 .375
CF Pillar 5 2 2 1 0 2 .381
CF Engel 3 0 0 1 1 0 .231
C Maile 5 1 2 2 0 1 .375
3B Saladino 2 0 0 0 0 2 .000
SS Díaz 3 2 3 3 0 0 .313
3B Sánchez 2 1 1 1 0 0 .273
SS Ngoepe 1 1 0 0 1 0 .143
LF Delmonico 4 0 1 1 0 3 .111
TOR IP H R ER BB SO P-S ERA
CWS IP H R ER BB SO P-S ERA
Happ, J 5.1 7 4 4 1 9 93-60 5.40
González, M 5.0 8 6 5 2 4 89-58 9.00
Barnes, D 0.2 0 0 0 0 1 13-8 3.00
Santiago, H 2.1 3 3 3 1 2 45-26 11.57
Axford 1.0 1 0 0 1 0 21-9 3.86
Infante 0.1 3 5 5 2 0 21-11 33.75
Clippard 1.0 1 1 1 0 2 17-11 4.50
Minaya 0.1 1 0 0 0 0 12-6 18.00
Loup 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 20-13 0.00


I tried to condense tonight’s recap, but the Jays just kept scoring. Here’s a live look at Luke Maile.
J.A. Happ wasn’t particularly sharp tonight. The results were mixed, and the process wasn’t especially convincing. His final line reads 5.1 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 9 K, 1 BB. Happ worked himself hard early on. The White Sox had a couple of hits, a couple of walks, and three strikeouts in the 2nd. That forced Happ’s pitch count up to 47. He settled down after that, as he racked up a few more strikeouts and only a few more baserunners. The issue was that two of the hits were home runs - one from Tim Anderson and the other from Avisail Garcia. The strikeouts have been a nice surprise, but between the Ks, Happ has been pitching to lots of contact. It would do the bullpen a world of good if he could pitch a little deeper into his starts (he’s at 10.0 innings now through his first two games).

A quick word on the decision to pull Happ in the 6th. John Gibbons has managed situations like tonight’s basically the exact same way throughout his tenure. Whenever he has a starter who seems to be at the end of the road, Gibbons will send him back out to start an inning, and yank him once the opponent gets a base runner. Like clockwork, Gibbons did the same tonight after Anderson hit a single. I assume the thinking has to be to get as many outs as possible from the starter. I guess it’s just a philosophical difference on my part, because I don’t agree with it. For me, I would rather they go straight to the bullpen to start innings like that, rather than force a reliever to come in with a runner already on. It strikes me a tactic that leads to unnecessarily stressful innings for the bullpen, more often than not (of course, I haven’t actually checked to see how effective it has been at getting an extra innings from the starter). Maybe Gibby’s right.

Runs, runs, runs, runs ,runs, runs, runs.

The offence kept doing good things tonight, and in a change of pace, they got to the White Sox relatively early. Maile led off the 3rd with a double(!), before Diaz hit a two-run homer. A couple of batters later, Smoak walked, Solarte hit a single (and Smoak advanced to 3rd), and Smoak eventually scored on an error by Anderson. They manufactured a run!

The manufacturing continued in the 4th, as Pillar got aboard with a single (we seem to have had lots of leadoff men reach so far, no?), and Diaz hit an RBI double. I’m not sure why he tried to advance to 3rd, but the hit itself was valuable. Those exit velocities are paying off. Diaz was stellar tonight (unfortunately, he left in the 7th due to back spasms). Granderson followed Diaz with a triple, before Donaldson launched a two-run bomb. Donaldson followed that with an RBI single in the 6th. The single had an exit velocity of 115.5 MPH, while the homer was clocked at 94.7 MPH. Baseball’s wild. Donaldson looks healthy.

Also, Ngoepe walked tonight in the 8th! He got on base! That was a sign of things to come. Granderson then hit a double, the White Sox missed the cutoff man, and Ngoepe scored standing up. Donaldson followed with another walk, before Smoak picked up an RBI with a ground rule double. The White Sox gave Solarte an intentional walk to get to Grichuk, who hit a sac fly to score Donaldson. Morales followed that with an RBI single. It was all hands on deck. And it didn’t stop there - Pillar hit an RBI double to make it 12 on the night. Maile followed with [his second double of the night](!!)(https://streamable.com/gk51o), driving in two runs. He’s on fire.

The Jays were criticized in some quarters for being too reliant on home runs through the first five games (a fair critique of a small sample). Tonight, they had a couple of home runs, 10 extra base hits, they threw in some walks, and had some smart baserunning. It was multi-faceted onslaught, and I loved it.

As mentioned above, Barnes came in to clean up the 6th, with one on and one out. Anderson was standing at 1st, and eventually stole his way to 3rd. Adam Engel scored drive him home on a grounder. Barnes got out of the inning by striking out Nicky Delmonico.

In other news, Axford has yet to have a really strong inning as a Blue Jay. The Pride of Port Dover looked shaky again tonight, but still managed to escape the 7th unscathed. He started by walking Yoan Moncada, before Garcia grounded out. Jose Abreu then hit a single, with an asset to Grichuk, who dropped the catch. Moncada advanced to 3rd on the play. The next batter, Matt Davidson, hit a comebacker, and Axford threw Moncada out at the plate. That was the third out at the plate for the Jays in six games. Welington Castillo grounded out to end the frame. It was an eventful inning for Axford, who is still fighting to find the strike zone.

Clippard worked the 8th. Anderson struck out, Engel flied out… and Yolmer Sanchez hit a solo shot. The long ball was a problem tonight for the staff tonight. Clippard bounced back by striking out Delmonico. He has allowed two home runs in 4.0 innings, but has otherwise been fine to start the year. Loup got to pitch the 9th, after the Jays demolished the White Sox in the 8th. Moncada struck out to start the inning. Garcia then reached 2nd on a throwing error by Loup. I’m going to spare you anymore details at this point. Loup finished the game for the Jays.

Sanchez starts tomorrow against Carson Fulmer. That should be fun.

Monday, April 2, 2018

04-02-18 CHW vs TOR

(Nathan Denette/The Canadian Press)
The Blue Jays have more wins than losses!!!!

Welcome to the Jaime Garcia show. It might not have been pretty, but it was effective. Garcia’s final line reads 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 7 SO, 4 H, 2 BB. His stuff looked both really good and really bad. When Garcia was in the zone, his off-speed pitches gave the White Sox fits. He was able to induce lots of soft contact from their half-hearted swings. That was set up by his pitches that were missing. Some intentionally missed. Others bounced off the turf on their way to home plate.

More often than not, Garcia’s missed pitches were unintentional, and missed by a lot. That seemed to affect him when he did hit the strike zone, though, as a few borderline calls didn’t go his way. That said, he also had the White Sox chasing some balls in the dirt. It worked both ways. The only damage came via a Welington Castillo solo shot

As long as Garcia can keep the damage down like he did today, I’ll happily sign up for a season of that. He’s probably going to need to locate a bit better in the future, though.

Not much offence for most of the day. A few hits, a few walks… and then THREE MONSTER HOME RUNS. We’re going to ride this power all summer long.

The Jays only had three baserunners through the first 5.0 innings, and two of those came from Grichuk walks. Incredible. They struck out a bunch and hit some lazy fly balls, while they also kept Yolmer Sanchez busy at 3rd, as he had to deal with a few sharp liners. The Jays finally broke through in the 6th, when Donaldson hit his first bomb of the year, to the opposite field. Between that and the video that Sportsnet showed of him throwing today, it seems as though his shoulder should be good to go. Also, Donaldson didn’t care for Daryl Boston’s whistle (and the White Sox didn’t seem to mind, so we’re cool).

Granderson worked a nice walk in the 7th. He took 10 pitches against the left-handed Luis Avilan, fouling off a few. That was a tough position to put him in, and he came through, in what turned out to be one of the most important plate appearances of the game. I like Curtis Granderson. A couple of batters later, Russell Martin launched a two-run shot. I also like Russell Martin. So does Solarte.

The Jays added another run in the 8th, when Diaz sent one flying over the left field wall. Diaz was bound to start hitting at some point. His exit velocities were very encouraging through the first few games, but the balls were just finding gloves. If he continues to hit them like he has, then we can watch out for him to become a bit of a threat at the bottom of the lineup. Later in the inning, with two outs and Smoak up, the White Sox turned to Aaron Bummer. Smoak reached on an error, Solarte reached on a walk. Granderson flied out to end the inning, but I really just wanted to tell you about Aaron Bummer.

In less exciting but still newsworthy news, Travis hasn’t looked good to start the year. I know he’s not alone. I’m just putting that out there. He had another quiet day today, with two strikeouts and not much else. He has now struck out in 47.1% of his at bats this season. The Jays need him to get going. Imagine what this perfectly average offence could be with a productive Travis. Also, Pillar shouldn’t bat leadoff, so stop it.

Seung-hwan Oh worked the 7th. He didn’t look as good as last night. Castillo took him deep for his second homer of the night. Tim Anderson then grounded out. The next two got aboard, as Leury Garcia walked and Sanchez was hit by a pitch. Oh wiggled his way out of that jam, when Adam Engel and Yoan Moncada each popped out to end the inning. Tepera pitched the 8th. Avisail Garcia flied out, Abreu hit a double, and Matt Davidson struck out. That brought Castillo back up to the plate, representing the go-ahead run. And he struck out on a beautiful slider off the plate. Tepera’s good, man.

Osuna was on for the 9th. Anderson flied out, Garcia grounded out, and Sanchez struck out. Eight strikes on eight pitches for Osuna, who has been damn near untouchable so far this season.

There was some fine defence on display tonight. For the second time this season, Solarte made a heads-up play to prevent a runner from scoring on a ground ball in the 3rd. Granderson then showed his range in the 4th, as he kept Jose Abreu to a single on what would have been a double in years past. Granderson made another smooth play in the 6th, when he caught Abreu trying to advance on a flyout. Save for the very first play of the year, Granderson has played well in LF. For his part, Solarte has done everything we could have hoped for at 3B.

Happ gets the ball opposite former shitbird Miguel Gonzalez tomorrow night.

04-01-19 BAL vs TOR

The Canadian Press Line Score - Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E BAL 4 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 6 6 0 TOR 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 5 6 1 Box Score...